Christian A. DeHaemer - Angel PublishingLatest Articles by Christian A. DeHaemer of Angel Publishing2015-02-03T20:20:49ZDo Not UseI know you're asking: "What are Q-Shares and how can I get in on them?" Don't worry, I've got you covered.<p>In January of 2010, Warren Buffett did something that he had previously denounced…</p>
<p>He created a new class of shares for his holding company, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK).</p>
<p>Previously, in his 1983 letter to shareholders when asked why he never offered “cheap” shares of Berkshire, Buffett wrote, “Splitting the stock would increase that cost (transfer costs), downgrade the quality of our shareholder population, and encourage a market price less consistently related to intrinsic business value. We see no offsetting advantages.”</p>
<p>Then he changed his mind and offered Class B-Shares of Berkshire.</p>
<p>Of course, when he offered the B-Shares he made the stock easier to buy and sell, for the vast majority of investors.</p>
<p>It was great news in the investing world, because it allowed regular folks to buy into Warren Buffett. Previously, unless you had over $100,000 to plunk down on one share – you were cut out of the deal.</p>
<p>But it wasn’t the first time that a broader class of investor was given new access to a once off-limits type of asset…</p>
<p>For most of the stock market’s history, it was impossible for American investors to buy into the kinds of innovative, early-stage American companies that are truly the engines of growth.</p>
<p>Consider that small and midsized businesses drive over 70% of American GDP. They provide 80% of the new jobs every year…</p>
<p>But for over 180 years of Wall Street’s history, it was impossible for this type of company to access public investment capital – and just as impossible for the average investor to seek out and invest in these companies.</p>
<p>Unless you were in private equity, you never even heard of these companies.</p>
<p>Then, a quiet revolution occurred – with the advent of what I call Class Q-Shares.</p>
<p>Now, those American companies that never went public are able to.</p>
<p>And regular investors can buy America’s best innovative companies as easy as they can buy Wal-Mart (WMT) or GE (GE).</p>
<p>It’s a major coup for regular folks who want access – but you never hear about it.</p>
<p>For a small example of stocks that offer Q-Shares, consider a company called Anika Therapeutics. It’s a company I recommended to subscribers of my service Technology and Opportunity back in August of 2013.</p>
<p>This company specializes in the manufacture and sale of a very specialized type of human tissue repair product based off of one single substance called hyaluronic acid (HA).</p>
<p>HA occurs naturally in the body and is found everywhere from your skin to your joints to the soft tissue separating your organs. In short, it’s kind of like a combination lubricant/healing agent your body produces naturally.</p>
<p>Anika manufactures HA and uses it in a variety of therapeutic products – mostly used for arthritis ailments. According to the Arthritis Foundation, arthritis affects 1 in 5 adults, making it one of the most common chronic pain problems in the world.</p>
<p>And Anika is a tiny company, with a market cap under $700 million. It makes a small number of products based off of just one main ingredient – but it could completely revolutionize the world of arthritis pain treatment. That’s because HA tends to treat the symptoms of arthritis, not just block or prevent the pain.</p>
<p>It could be a cure…</p>
<p>That makes it a very unique company with a lot weighing on just one product stream.</p>
<p>If 1 in 5 Americans buys Anika’s products, the company would be worth 50 times what it sells for today. Even if a tiny percentage of arthritis sufferers try Anika’s treatments the company could be an easy 10-bagger.</p>
<p>That makes it an extremely unique company. Simply put, at this stage it’s beyond a penny stock (it sells for over $45 a share and has been in business for over 20 years), but still not S&P 500 material. Which is why it issued class Q-Shares.</p>
<p>In short, companies that issue Q-Shares tend to be on the small side. The average Q-Shares company has a market cap of less than $2 billion.</p>
<p>They also tend to be hyper-focused type of innovative companies: drilling down into one specific problem.</p>
<p>Perhaps not altogether surprisingly, they’re overwhelmingly based in America.</p>
<p>That’s because despite “common knowledge,” America is still the best place in the world for innovative companies to start and thrive.</p>
<p>As for Anika, it’s up almost 100% since I told my subscribers about it last August.</p>
<p>I recently completed a full write-up on Q-Shares, and I why I think this small, misunderstood segment of the stock market could soon vastly outperform regular stocks.</p>
<p>In fact, for reasons I reveal in my write-up, Q-Shares tend to rise AFTER regular stocks hit new highs.</p>
<p></p>2015-02-03T20:20:49Z2015-02-03T20:20:49Z5169Christian A. DeHaemerStem Cells Saved My LifeAccording to the BBC, a billionaire in the Bahamas claims stems cells are making him younger.<p>Scientists have a history of altering the trajectory of mankind.</p>
<p>I remember sitting on a Missouri front porch while my father told me of his youth, back in the days before the great Jonas Salk eradicated polio.</p>
<p>“We stayed home from school,” my dad said. “The swimming pools and libraries were empty.”</p>
<p>It is a well-known story that Dr. Salk didn't patent his vaccine. His goal was to save lives — kids' lives.</p>
<p>He said, “You might as well patent the sun.”</p>
<p>It was a simpler time.</p>
<p>About 15 years ago, there was something called the Human Genome Project, which mapped the entirety of human DNA. At the time, this was about as big as it gets for biological science.</p>
<p>Many companies such as Celera, Human Genome, and Medarex went up many thousands of percent based on the promise of patenting DNA. Affymetrix alone went from $5.25 to $342.36 in just a few years.</p>
<p>Right now, the third wave of bioscience is upon us, and it goes by the name of "stem cell."</p>
<p>Just look at these recent headlines:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>"Cloning used to make stem cells from adult humans" —<em>CNN</em><br />"Stem Cells May Repair 'Irreversible' Heart Damage"<em> —Forbes</em><br />"Stem Cells To Power Your Sperm"<em> —Yahoo News</em></p>
</blockquote>
<p>The list goes on and on.</p>
<p>The amount of money being thrown at stem cell research these days is more than $3 billion a year. It is projected to be a $50 billion industry.</p>
<p>But because the biotech market just crashed, many of these stocks are trading at levels not seen in over a year.</p>
<p><strong>Why Now?</strong></p>
<p>Most people have heard of stem cells but don't really know what they are. It's simple: As you remember from eighth grade science class, cells are the smallest part of living organisms. Stem cells are unique in that they have the ability to divide infinitely into specialized units.</p>
<p>Think of them as the building blocks of life that can be constructed into any body part like brain, muscle, or cardiac cells.</p>
<p>Perhaps you remember the story of scientists growing human ears on the backs of pigs, or a man in China growing a nose on his forehead.</p>
<p>Recently, studies have suggested that you can inject stem cells into your heart to <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/investing-in-regenerative-medicine-companies/4004">repair damage</a> after a heart attack.</p>
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<p><strong>Past Controversy</strong></p>
<p>You may remember about 10 years ago when G.W. Bush announced a moratorium on stem cell research in the United States.</p>
<p>The Pope came out and said the Catholic Church was against it because at the time, stem cells were taken from human embryos (embryonic stem cells). This is where they are most common — dividing and growing millions of times to become a human being.</p>
<p>Obviously, harvesting body parts from the unborn to keep old people alive raises all sorts of moral problems.</p>
<p>But now, <em>Technology and Opportunity</em> has found a company the Vatican not only believes in but has actually become an investor in.</p>
<p>The company harvests adult stem cells, called somatic stem cells. The problem so far is that they don't divide in quite the same way as embryonic, and they aren't blank slates, but they do hold tremendous potential for heart attack sufferers, among others.</p>
<p>The discovery of adult stem cells was made 2006. After eight years, the science is reaching a critical juncture. Just this year, we've seen a major leap forward.</p>
<p>Scientists have been able to clone embryos to make the stem cells match perfectly to a specific person. The process allows for patients of any age to have their cells cloned.</p>
<p>Another study that just came out shows that human stem cells have regrown damaged cells in monkey hearts. The damaged hearts were injected with human cardiac stem cells, and there was up to 40% regeneration of dead tissue over three months. The hearts were even able to produce electromechanical function.</p>
<p>And according to the BBC, a billionaire in the Bahamas claims stems cells are making him younger.</p>
<p>Look for the next issue of <em>Technology and Opportunity</em> coming soon, and we'll tell you all about the stem cell company the Pope bought. If you're not a member, <a href="http://www.angelnexus.com/o/web/58549">join now for less than a cheap pair of sneakers.</a></p>
<p>All the best,</p>
<p><p><img style="margin: 7px;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/25/9077/christian-dehaemer-signature.png" border="0" alt="Christian DeHaemer Signature" /></p>
<p>Christian DeHaemer</p>
<p><a href="https://twitter.com/thedailyhammer" target="_blank"><img style="vertical-align: middle;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/50/11971/follow-basic.jpg" border="0" alt="follow basic" />@TheDailyHammer on Twitter</a></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><em><span style="color: #333333;">Since 1995, Christian DeHaemer has specialized in frontier market opportunities. He has traveled extensively and invested in places as varied as Cuba, Mongolia, and Kenya. Chris believes the best way to make money is to get there first with the most. Christian is the founder of <a href="http://www.angelpub.com/pubs/cao">Crisis & Opportunity</a> and Managing Director of <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com">Wealth Daily</a>. He is also a contributor for <a href="http://www.energyandcapital.com">Energy & Capital.</a> For more on Christian, see his editor's <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/editors/christian-dehaemer">page.</a></span></em></p></p>2014-05-06T20:08:18Z2014-05-06T20:08:18Z5150Christian A. DeHaemerThe Clock is Running Out on OilThe world's next tallest building will be finished just as The Kingdom runs out of oil... Is this part of a larger trend?<p>Hubris is an innate human quality. We are always trying to do things bigger and better, but we often reach too far.</p>
<p>Whether it be bridges in Holland during World War II, McMansions in Clearwater, or skyscrapers in New York City, the nature of the business cycle is to ramp up leverage and lay on the bets the further you travel from the mean. Every success is followed by more risk.</p>
<p>In the case of constructing the world's tallest building, you must have confidence not only in the architect and the builder, but also in the moneymen, the real estate people, and the political class. The simple, community-wide arrogance it takes to invest billions of dollars in something that may or may not pay off is extraordinary...</p>
<p>It is little wonder that, much like a flag on the moon, skyscrapers represent the high-tide mark of presumption.</p>
<p><strong>The Big Idea</strong></p>
<p>14 years ago, Andrew Lawrence — then a Hong Kong-based property analyst for a British investment bank — created the Skyscraper Index. This index correlated construction of the world’s tallest skyscrapers with economic crises going back to 1873. And it has proved incredibly accurate.</p>
<p>Lawrence described his index as an “unhealthy 100-year correlation.” It works like a charm.</p>
<p>The first example was the Equitable Life Building in New York, which was completed in 1873 at a then-skyscraping 43.3 meters. Completion was followed immediately by a recession in the United States and Europe that lasted for five years, historically known as the Long Depression.</p>
<p>The Auditorium Building in Chicago and the New York World Building, completed in 1889 and 1890 respectively, coincided with the British banking crisis of 1890 and a world recession.</p>
<p>Then there was the Singer Building (1908), whose construction presaged the Panic of 1907, and the Metropolitan Life Building, completed in 1909.</p>
<p>The Skyscraper Index accurately predicted the Great Depression with the completion of 40 Wall Tower in 1929, the Chrysler Building in 1930, and the Empire State Building in 1931...</p>
<p>The World Trade Center towers in New York were finished in 1972, and the Sears Tower in Chicago in 1974 “marked a period of U.S. currency speculation, the collapse of the <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/are-major-bank-runs-in-our-near-future/5008">Bretton Woods system</a>, and the OPEC price rises that caused an economic crisis across the world.”</p>
<p><strong>The Global Phallic Symbol</strong></p>
<p>The Petronas Towers in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia were the first "tallest buildings" constructed outside of the United States in 130 years.</p>
<p>They marked the top of the “Asian Tiger” period and coincided with the Asian currency crisis of 1997. The Petronas Towers currently have an occupancy rate of just 75%.</p>
<p>And of course, the Burj Khalifa in Dubai is now the tallest, standing 828 meters tall and 162 stories, and it coincided with the biggest global <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/should-you-invest-in-residential-real-estate/4912">real estate bust</a> of all time in 2009.</p>
<p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2014/17/24195/burj.jpg" border="0" alt="burj" width="220" height="385" /></p>
<p>It's been five years now since someone reached for a new record. This week, it was announced that construction of the world's largest tower was to begin in Saudi Arabia. One hundred-dollar oil buys a lot of "I" beams.</p>
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<p>Right now, you are part of the BIGGEST ongoing financial con job... ever. Ironically, you probably don't even realize that you're part of it.</p>
<p>However, it will all come to an end in 2014... with millions of losers on one hand, and only a few winners on the other.</p>
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<p><strong>The Kingdom Tower</strong></p>
<p>The Kingdom Tower will be built by the Bin Laden Group (Osama's father). It will measure 3,280 feet and 200 stories when finished. That's a full 568 feet taller than the Burj Khalifa building.</p>
<p>The building is expected to be completed in 2019 — about the time the famed Ghawar oil field runs out.</p>
<p>You see, the Saudis have developed Ghawar by using peripheral water injection; water is pumped into the reservoir, driving the remaining oil to the surface.</p>
<p>In 1980 (when they last let Western scientists look at it), the depth of oil in Ghawar was at 500 feet and depleting at 18.4 feet per year...</p>
<p>One day in the not-too-distant future, they will pump brine instead of black gold.</p>
<p>Sincerely,</p>
<p><img src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/25/9077/christian-dehaemer-signature.png" border="0" alt="Christian DeHaemer Signature" width="200" height="60" /><br />Christian DeHaemer</p>
<p>P.S. The Department of Homeland Security is building the largest government building since the Pentagon, with 4.5 million feet of workspace. I feel safer already... how about you?</p>2014-04-22T18:52:04Z2014-04-22T18:52:04Z5130Christian A. DeHaemerIs This a Top?No one really knows whether we've reached a top or just a correction. But to me, it feels like a correction. Here's why...<p>I spent the better part of last week looking at charts and going through value screens looking for something to buy.</p>
<p>There is a lot less there than there was even a year ago.</p>
<p>Investors have gone down the value chain buying up mid-caps, then small-caps, then biotechs. Now the fast money has been moving into penny stocks.</p>
<p>If you look at the S&P 500, you will notice that every two and a half months (with the exception of November, when the market simply consolidated for two months), we experience a (5%, +/-) correction.</p>
<p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2014/15/24013/spcd.png" border="0" alt="spcd" width="430" height="305" /></p>
<p>This correction has been foretold by a MACD crossover that was well above the zero line. Contrarily, the time to buy has been on the dips, when the MACD is below the zero line.</p>
<p>No one knows if this is a top or just a correction. But to my mind, it feels like a correction.</p>
<p>At the top, all permabears like Peter Schiff or even superb value guys like Warren Buffett will be discredited. They will be ignored and ridiculed. We aren't there yet.</p>
<p>If you remember the 2000 peak, TVs in every watering hole and restaurant were showing MSNBC or Bloomberg. That's not happening now. It's ESPN all the time.</p>
<p>Back in 2007, all the talk at cocktail parties and funerals was about <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/housing-booms-and-busts-in-2014/4886">housing prices</a>. Taxi drivers were flipping condos. Again, that's not happening.</p>
<p><strong>Know Your Bull</strong></p>
<p>There is one simple way to know if we are in a bear market or a bull market. Bear markets have lower lows and lower highs. That is, each dip in the chart is lower than the previous dip.</p>
<p>Bull markets, like in the chart above, have higher lows and higher highs — by definition.</p>
<p>Therefore, we are in a bull market. At some point, that will change — but remember, stocks don't turn on a dime. Tops are a process.</p>
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<p>There's a type of gold that fetches a much higher than all others.</p>
<p>Most don't even know it exists...</p>
<p>And that's a shame, because this type of gold routinely sells for 470% than bullion.</p>
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<p>One good rule of thumb is to sell when the trend line is broken. A trend line simply connects all of the bottoms.</p>
<p>Here is the ten-year NASDAQ chart:</p>
<p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2014/15/24014/nasd1.png" border="0" alt="nasd1" width="430" height="218" /></p>
<p>Each candlestick represents three months. Looking at this chart, it suggests the NASDAQ has gotten ahead of itself and should pull back or move sideways. But it's not a bear market until that long black line is broken at 3,200.</p>
<p>Don't get me wrong — I'm not shorting it. <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/whats-janet-yellen-up-to/5082">Fed Chief Yellen</a> could say something tomorrow, or just wave her hand out of the blue, and this market could go up another 200 points. Shorts have been getting killed in this market, but they keep going back.</p>
<p>That in itself is a sign we are not at a top.</p>
<p>All the best,</p>
<p><p><img style="margin: 7px;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/25/9077/christian-dehaemer-signature.png" border="0" alt="Christian DeHaemer Signature" /></p>
<p>Christian DeHaemer</p>
<p><a href="https://twitter.com/thedailyhammer" target="_blank"><img style="vertical-align: middle;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/50/11971/follow-basic.jpg" border="0" alt="follow basic" />@TheDailyHammer on Twitter</a></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><em><span style="color: #333333;">Since 1995, Christian DeHaemer has specialized in frontier market opportunities. He has traveled extensively and invested in places as varied as Cuba, Mongolia, and Kenya. Chris believes the best way to make money is to get there first with the most. Christian is the founder of <a href="http://www.angelpub.com/pubs/cao">Crisis & Opportunity</a> and Managing Director of <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com">Wealth Daily</a>. He is also a contributor for <a href="http://www.energyandcapital.com">Energy & Capital.</a> For more on Christian, see his editor's <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/editors/christian-dehaemer">page.</a></span></em></p></p>2014-04-08T19:23:17Z2014-04-08T19:23:17Z5111Christian A. DeHaemerHeavy Metal: Putin's WarCrimea is now Russia. It's a done deal. And backing the neo-Nazis now in power in Ukraine will end badly, just as getting involved in a long list of other third-world hellholes ended badly.<p>As new information comes out about Ukraine, it is becoming clear that the U.S. created a coup to remove the duly elected president Viktor Yanukovych.</p>
<p>But things got out of hand.</p>
<p>Now, the administration/CIA is having buyer's remorse, as Putin reacted with boldness and speed to reclaim historically Russian territory.</p>
<p>Don't forget that Crimea voted to split with Ukraine and rejoin Russia. This is because 60% of the Crimean population thinks they are Russian.</p>
<p>And it's no wonder. Crimea has been part of Russia since Catherine the Great. Russia first officially annexed Crimea in 1783.</p>
<p>Furthermore, despite what the MSM says, there was no Russian invasion. They had troops in place from treaties and agreements.</p>
<p>Crimea is now Russia. It's a done deal. And backing the neo-Nazis now in power in Ukraine will end badly, just as getting involved in Libya, Egypt, Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan, Nicaragua, Chile, Iran, Vietnam, Laos, and a long list of other third-world hellholes ended badly.</p>
<p>The only questions now are what the blowback will be and how we can profit from the coming sanctions. And there will be sanctions — along with the cliché of patriotic chest thumping and Obama's wagging finger.</p>
<p><strong>Metal Sanctions</strong></p>
<p>As I write this, a series of meetings with members of the G-7 group of nations is ongoing in Europe. The G-7 includes Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States. The <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/what-to-do-when-russia-invades/5056">Ukraine</a> will be a focus.</p>
<p>So far, there has been some tit-for-tat stuff on the sanctions front, but no real pressure.</p>
<p>The Russian Foreign Ministry recently banned 13 Canadians from entering Russia, including the head of the Ukrainian Canadian Congress. Last week, Obama froze some Russian bank accounts.</p>
<p>This is just the beginning; more sanctions are coming.</p>
<p><div class="article_textad"><div style="border-bottom:1px solid gray; text-align:center; color:gray; font-size:10px; width:100%;">Advertisement</div><br /><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>Berkshire Hathaway Beat-Down</strong></p>
<p>Would you rather invest $1,000 and have it turn into:</p>
<ul>
<li>$500,000 in 3 months?</li>
<li>$400,000 in 34 years?</li>
</ul>
<p>Full disclosure: These are real trades — and obviously there's a clear winner.</p>
<p>But here's what's nuts... That winning trade was delivered by the <a href="http://www.angelnexus.com/ta/?loc=web&adid=2145"><strong>most elite investment collective you've never heard of</strong></a>, while the example it trounced was none other than Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway.</p><hr size="1" /></div></p>
<p>One way to play it is to buy <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/2014-palladium-investing/4781">palladium</a>. Here's why:</p>
<ol>
<li>
<p>Most palladium is mined in South Africa and Russia.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>The price is starting to move on increasing volume despite a commodity bust.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>Palladium hit a 2½-year high late last week.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>Two new palladium ETFs will suck up supply. The Standard Bank said it would launch a physically backed palladium exchange-traded fund in South Africa on Monday, and Absa Bank said its planned South African palladium ETF would begin trading on Thursday.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>There are ongoing mining strikes in South Africa.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>Russia's Norilsk is a large producer of palladium, and the threat that sanctions might shut off exports will force users to stock up.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>Palladium is used in <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/your-next-car-will-have-a-stack-engine/5046">hydrogen fuel cells</a>, and the industry is having a growth surge.</p>
</li>
</ol>
<p>These catalysts are set up in a way that could launch the price of palladium next month. If the mining strikes aren't rectified and Russia gets hit with sanctions, we could see a massive spike as producers seek to fill their needs in April.</p>
<p>One way to play it is to buy the ETFS Physical Palladium Shares ETF (NYSE: PALL). It just hit a 52-week high of $77.53.</p>
<p>All the best,</p>
<p><p><img style="margin: 7px;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/25/9077/christian-dehaemer-signature.png" border="0" alt="Christian DeHaemer Signature" /></p>
<p>Christian DeHaemer</p>
<p><a href="https://twitter.com/thedailyhammer" target="_blank"><img style="vertical-align: middle;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/50/11971/follow-basic.jpg" border="0" alt="follow basic" />@TheDailyHammer on Twitter</a></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><em><span style="color: #333333;">Since 1995, Christian DeHaemer has specialized in frontier market opportunities. He has traveled extensively and invested in places as varied as Cuba, Mongolia, and Kenya. Chris believes the best way to make money is to get there first with the most. Christian is the founder of <a href="http://www.angelpub.com/pubs/cao">Crisis & Opportunity</a> and Managing Director of <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com">Wealth Daily</a>. He is also a contributor for <a href="http://www.energyandcapital.com">Energy & Capital.</a> For more on Christian, see his editor's <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/editors/christian-dehaemer">page.</a></span></em></p></p>2014-03-25T18:14:13Z2014-03-25T18:14:13Z5086Christian A. DeHaemerGold is BackThe Chinese Machine Just Blew a Crank. Here is how to trade it.<p>Chinese exports just got crushed.</p>
<p>The big data point from yesterday was that Chinese trade is falling. Exports fell 18.1% from last year, which moved the trade balance negative.</p>
<p>Think of that. China, the great global export machine, now imports more than it exports. What a difference five years makes.</p>
<p>No wonder they are trying to distract their population by stirring up trouble with Japan...</p>
<p><strong>Great Sell-off of China</strong></p>
<p>As you can imagine, Wall Street took one look at this news and sold off every commodity you can think off. Oil fell, copper fell, nickel fell. All the major indexes were off. My screens were bleeding red from the Dow to the NASDAQ to the FTSE, Nikkei, and Hong Kong.</p>
<p>The only item that was up was the barbarous relic, gold (and fuel cells).</p>
<p>Here is the ten-year chart for the gold ETF GLD, which tracks the gold price. Each candlestick represents a month. As you can see, the price of gold came down to $1,180 per oz. and then bounced twice to form a double bottom. It is now going back up.</p>
<p><img src="https://images.angelpub.com/2014/11/23548/gld1.png" border="0" alt="gld1" width="579" height="336" /></p>
<p>The two slanting lines are called trend lines. They smooth out the chart and give you an idea of where it is heading.</p>
<p>The trend line that connects the lows is bullish, as each low is higher than the one before it. Gold has been in a bull market for about 14 years now.</p>
<p>However, over the past three years, since gold topped out in 2011, it has been in a short-term bear market within the longer-term bull market. You can tell this by the downward-slanting trend line.</p>
<p>What this tells us is that the price of gold will likely bounce between these two trend lines over the next year. This is called a pennant formation because it looks like one of those football pennants you had on your wall as a kid.</p>
<p>The moves will become smaller until the trend lines cross and the <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/gold-in-2014-friend-or-foe/4933">price of gold</a> has to break out one way or the other. That said, we don't have to worry about that until next year. Right now, the next move is up about $200 an ounce.</p>
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<p><strong>Little Gold Mines</strong></p>
<p>To trade this gold pattern, you don't want to by gold — you want to buy the junior gold miners. I like Allied Nevada because I made a killing on it after I bought it in 2009.</p>
<p><img src="https://images.angelpub.com/2014/11/23546/anvgld.png" border="0" alt="anvgld" width="512" height="288" /></p>
<p>Right now, after a moonshot of a round trip, the company is trading at 0.75 times book value and just two times sales. It has plenty of cash and some debt, but it's still a good proxy for the next leg up in gold.</p>
<p>As you can see by the chart above, when gold goes up 33%, ANV goes up 1,000%. But the small gold miners also fall much further when things go bad. ANV is down from $40 and now trades just north of $5.</p>
<p>With the steady stream of bad news germinating from emerging markets as well as more developed markets like the <span style="font-size: 12pt;">BRICs, it's a strong bet that money will be flowing into safe havens like gold. And when gold goes up, the <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/the-gold-miners-you-want-to-play/4527">junior miners</a> go up much further and faster.</span></p>
<p>If you are looking for an ETF, the Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners (NASDAQ: GDXJ) works as well.</p>
<p>Good hunting,</p>
<p><p><img style="margin: 7px;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/25/9077/christian-dehaemer-signature.png" border="0" alt="Christian DeHaemer Signature" /></p>
<p>Christian DeHaemer</p>
<p><a href="https://twitter.com/thedailyhammer" target="_blank"><img style="vertical-align: middle;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/50/11971/follow-basic.jpg" border="0" alt="follow basic" />@TheDailyHammer on Twitter</a></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><em><span style="color: #333333;">Since 1995, Christian DeHaemer has specialized in frontier market opportunities. He has traveled extensively and invested in places as varied as Cuba, Mongolia, and Kenya. Chris believes the best way to make money is to get there first with the most. Christian is the founder of <a href="http://www.angelpub.com/pubs/cao">Crisis & Opportunity</a> and Managing Director of <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com">Wealth Daily</a>. He is also a contributor for <a href="http://www.energyandcapital.com">Energy & Capital.</a> For more on Christian, see his editor's <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/editors/christian-dehaemer">page.</a></span></em></p></p>2014-03-11T17:06:47Z2014-03-11T17:06:47Z5066Christian A. DeHaemerYour Next Car Will Have a Stack EngineSprint, Hyundai, and Toyota are all pushing hard for fuel cells. Toyota in particular is touting its fuel cell vehicle for 2015... and it's time to get bullish.<p>You should be very bullish on fuel cells. Their time is now, and there is money to be made.</p>
<p>Last week, Sprint announced a plan to put fuel cell-powered relays on top of buildings and cell towers, as they are more reliable than diesel generators or batteries for backup power.</p>
<p>Hyundai has come out with a fuel cell-powered SUV that it will start leasing at $499 per month.</p>
<p>Toyota has also announced a new hydrogen fuel cell-powered car that it will sell in 2015. The concept car runs on a Lexus HS body and is powered by a "stack" that fits under the front seat.</p>
<p><em>Consumer Reports</em> liked it:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>"On the road, the FCV, enclosed in a Lexus HS body, felt just like any electric car. It showed an abundance of effortless power right out of the gate and a quiet glide throughout. Maximum speed is 100 mph. The ride is compliant and typically Toyota unobtrusive. Handling is reminiscent of a Prius or Lexus HS, which means it's a bit mundane and uninviting. But here's the thing: It takes just 3 to 5 minutes to fuel up and give the car a 300-mile driving range, according to Toyota. No battery-electric car can come remotely close to that.</p>
<p>Fuel cell vehicles are electric cars that use a fuel cell, which produces its own electricity, instead of battery-stored electricity. A chemical reaction between hydrogen and oxygen from the atmosphere produces the electricity needed to spin the vehicle's electric drive motor. Manufacturers the world over have been working on this technology for more than 20 years but cost and the lack of infrastructure have been major obstacles."</p>
</blockquote>
<p><strong>Cheaper, Lighter and Stronger</strong></p>
<p>Back in 2007, Toyota came out with a Highlander fuel cell <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/buy-ford-shares-now/4648">hybrid vehicle</a>. It could go over 300 miles on a tank of compressed hydrogen, but it cost more than a million dollars a vehicle. In contrast, the new Toyota FC will cost just $50,000 to make.</p>
<p>That's a 95% reduction in cost in just seven years and without economies of scale, which means they are only going to get cheaper.</p>
<p>The new fuel cell stack is one-third the size of the old one and produces twice the energy. It can be refueled in three to five minutes. </p>
<p>Fuel cells also benefit from producing only water and oxygen in exhaust. This will go far in helping to meet the new California zero-emissions laws.</p>
<p><div class="article_textad"><div style="border-bottom:1px solid gray; text-align:center; color:gray; font-size:10px; width:100%;">Advertisement</div><br /><p style="margin-bottom: 5.75pt; text-align: center;"><strong><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">We Just Raised the Price Target for This Texas Oil Stock</span></strong><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;"></span></p>
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<p style="margin-bottom: 5.75pt;"><em><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">That was before it announced a sudden wave of new land purchases that could send it screaming higher...</span></em><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;"></span></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 5.75pt;"><span style="font-size: 12.0pt;">Now we're upping the target <em>again </em>for this undervalued gem — to over $30 a share. Your investment could even <em>double </em>in the next 12 months.</span></p>
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<p><strong>We Have No More Power</strong></p>
<p>Obviously, there is no infrastructure for hydrogen-powered cars. Right now, there are only nine public filling stations in California for refueling hydrogen fuel cell cars. But Toyota will help finance another 91 by next year.</p>
<p>I don't know if Toyota will ever make money on fuel cell cars; no fuel cell company has ever made money. But I do know we now have proof of concept.</p>
<p>Fuel cell companies have been beaten with the ugly stick for about 15 years now. They are cheap. The average market cap is under $200 million.</p>
<p>That said, they are starting to move higher. One company I've told my readers to invest in has gone from $0.17 to $3.65 in the past year. Another one in my portfolio has doubled since December.</p>
<p>These fuel cells stocks are just starting to run... but cars won't be the major use.</p>
<p>No, it will be in energy storage. Everywhere you now see a <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/resources/lithium-mining-companies">battery</a>, you will soon see a fuel cell. They will be in phones, toys, boats, airliners, and — most important of all — electricity storage.</p>
<p>Fuel cells are infinitely scalable, much less expensive than batteries, and they work much longer. Furthermore, they can be charged in non-peak hours using formally wasted energy. </p>
<p>This is the year they hit the tipping point of low cost and rapid expansion.</p>
<p>Fuel cell companies will be profitable this year. And I know when a company goes from losing money to making money, its stock takes off.</p>
<p>You want to own fuel cell stocks now.</p>
<p>Until next time,</p>
<p><img src="https://images.angelpub.com/2010/18/4585/christian-dehaemer.png" border="0" alt="christian dehaemer" width="200" height="60" /></p>
<p>Christian DeHaemer</p>2014-02-25T16:06:12Z2014-02-25T16:06:12Z5046Christian A. DeHaemerSeven Medical BreakthroughsGiven what I know about the rapid growth of technology and computing power, I believe the speed of new medical fixes is about to go into overdrive...<p>I spent last week in Palm Springs at a resource investment conference. Despite the fact that junior gold miners are the best performing sector this year, the attendance was thin.</p>
<p>This gave me plenty of time to talk to rich old guys from Vancouver, and it lead to some startling discoveries...</p>
<p>At one point, I found myself talking to a gentleman with enough money to send an expert around the world to find a cure for his health.</p>
<p>You see, years of long workdays and chicken fried steak finally caught up to him one day in the form of a massive heart attack. A quadruple bypass and some new ideas about exercise have since changed his life.</p>
<p>But that was just the start. This guy didn't just want to live — he wanted his old self back.</p>
<p>He told me he was signed up for a study that would blast stem cells created from bone marrow into his heart with a catheter.</p>
<p>Preliminary studies have indicated that this treatment would reverse the damage done to the heart muscle within six months. The phase two trial was finished in December, and if the data still looks good, it will move on to phase three this year.</p>
<p>I found this to be pretty amazing. And given what I know about the rapid growth of technology and computing power, I believe the speed of new medical fixes is about to go into overdrive.</p>
<p><strong>Here are seven of the most dynamic heath trends of the next three years, and they're all based on one philosophy: Do nothing and benefit.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Move Over, Dr. House:</strong> Artificial intelligence is here. It won't be too long before you have more intelligent computing power in your phone than in your brain.</p>
<p>As I write this, <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/the-hottest-sector-right-now/4955">supercomputers</a> are being used to diagnose diseases. They can run millions of scenarios, sort the trillions of data points in your personal genome (the toxicity of the paint in your house, what you eat for breakfast, what your grandma died of), and then help a doctor pinpoint what is making you sick.</p>
<p><strong>Robotic Limbs:</strong> Look for new systems that allow you to control pain remotely or move cyborg hands, feet, or even outside systems.</p>
<p><strong>Organ Fax:</strong> Organovo, a California-based company, has printed a human liver that will test drug toxicity. This isn't an organ for transplants as of yet, but it is getting closer.</p>
<p>Plus, when you test drugs using an individual's DNA on an individual's petri-dish liver (or cancer sample), the improvement in workable drugs becomes an actual reality.</p>
<p>And soon enough, if you need a new organ, you can have them fax you one.</p>
<p><strong>The Blind Will See: </strong>My 75-year-old father just had eye surgery where they sucked the fluid out of his eyeball — getting rid of all the "floaters" and little bits of stuff that marred his vision — and put in a new artificial lens. Now, he can see distance without glasses and drive even at night.</p>
<p>For the record, I've never seen him without glasses in my life... and I'm not a young man. That's what is happening now. In the future, already tested microchip implants will help people regain sight.</p>
<p><div class="article_textad"><div style="border-bottom:1px solid gray; text-align:center; color:gray; font-size:10px; width:100%;">Advertisement</div><br /><p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.angelnexus.com/ta/?loc=web&adid=1828"><strong>How To Survive The Coming COLLAPSE Of <br />The U.S. Dollar In 2015...</strong></a></p>
<p>If you're smart enough to see how the value of the U.S. dollar has declined over the years, you'll want to see this... because currency collapses happen fast.</p>
<p>For example, consider the Asian Currency Crisis in Thailand. The Thai currency, the baht, lost 23% of its value in just 25 days... and then lost another 41% of its value in the following six months.</p>
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<p><strong>Stroke Me, Stroke Me:</strong> Brains will be fixed. If you have Alzheimer's, are punchy from a boxing career, or had a stroke, there is hope. A microchip with a matrix of fiber-optic wires will bridge damaged areas, stimulate nerve centers, and enhance your life.</p>
<p><strong>5K Charities Go Out of Business: </strong>There will be no more birth defects. It now costs less than $1,000 to map your specific DNA, so doctors will soon know before birth — for good or ill — what problems a baby will have. They will fix the ones they can and reduce the risks of others.</p>
<p>The future is a place where medication is <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/biotechs-moment-of-convergence/4519">DNA-specific</a>. Designer babies are already here. They will get bigger, faster, and stronger.</p>
<p><strong>What's Wrong With Me, Doc?:</strong> There will be new patient-physician interaction technologies. The last time I went to my doctor, I waited in the lounge for an hour and talked to him for maybe seven minutes. In this time, he evaluated my records, looked over my vitals, and came up with an effective treatment.</p>
<p>In the future, the first two tasks will be done before I go to his office. It will also be more effective, and we will have better, long-term data via our phones. One company is working on a temporary tattoo that will effortlessly record your biometric data for two weeks.</p>
<p>Over at <em>Technology and Opportunity,</em> we are finding companies that lead the industry in these technologies. The current market sell-off has allowed us to buy cheap and lock in some solid profit opportunities.</p>
<p>Good hunting,</p>
<p><p><img style="margin: 7px;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/25/9077/christian-dehaemer-signature.png" border="0" alt="Christian DeHaemer Signature" /></p>
<p>Christian DeHaemer</p>
<p><a href="https://twitter.com/thedailyhammer" target="_blank"><img style="vertical-align: middle;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/50/11971/follow-basic.jpg" border="0" alt="follow basic" />@TheDailyHammer on Twitter</a></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><em><span style="color: #333333;">Since 1995, Christian DeHaemer has specialized in frontier market opportunities. He has traveled extensively and invested in places as varied as Cuba, Mongolia, and Kenya. Chris believes the best way to make money is to get there first with the most. Christian is the founder of <a href="http://www.angelpub.com/pubs/cao">Crisis & Opportunity</a> and Managing Director of <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com">Wealth Daily</a>. He is also a contributor for <a href="http://www.energyandcapital.com">Energy & Capital.</a> For more on Christian, see his editor's <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/editors/christian-dehaemer">page.</a></span></em></p></p>2014-02-11T17:53:00Z2014-02-11T17:53:00Z5020Christian A. DeHaemerRobot SingularityThe United States is getting more educated and producing more stuff; at the same time, the number of factory jobs continues to decline in real and relative terms. The reason, of course, is automation<p><em>Bloomberg Businessweek</em> just put out this little graph showing manufacturing jobs are dead and gone...</p>
<p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2014/05/23002/factory-jobs.png" border="0" alt="factory-jobs" width="400" height="85" /></p>
<p>As you can see, despite the fact that the U.S. manufacturing sector continues to generate $1.8 trillion in GDP (2011), the jobs are decreasing.</p>
<p>Manufacturing makes up 12% of the U.S. economy and only 10% of the non-farm workforce. But get this — over the 22 years from 1980 to 2012, there was a 189% gain in manufacturing output. Furthermore, during the period from 1980 to 2012, the proportion of workers with some college education increased from 20% to 50%.</p>
<p>The United States is getting more educated and producing more stuff; at the same time, the number of factory jobs continues to decline in real and relative terms.</p>
<p>The reason, of course, is automation, computerization, artificial intelligence, technology, and robots.</p>
<p><strong>Gung Ho</strong></p>
<p>The trend isn't new. You may remember the bad Michael Keaton comedy about the Japanese taking over U.S. auto companies in the early 1980s. It wasn't funny because it was too close to the truth.</p>
<p>Now, a new paper recently discussed by <em>The Economist</em> claims half of American jobs can be automated. And don't think you'll be protected...</p>
<p>Lawyers are already getting hit hard. Thanks to advances in <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/five-big-booms-for-2014/4919">artificial intelligence</a>, “e-discovery” software can analyze documents in a fraction of the time for a fraction of the cost. What used to cost $1.5 million to pay a team of lawyers now costs $100,000.</p>
<p><strong>Bum, Get a Job</strong></p>
<p>The word is out. Law school applications are declining by so much that 25% of schools have cut class sizes, and many are cutting tuition. Villanova University is giving away free tuition to 50 students this year.</p>
<p>Expect a host of other professions, like loan officers and tax accounting, to be hollowed out by software.</p>
<p>According to the <em>New York Times:</em></p>
<blockquote>
<p>Automation of higher-level jobs is accelerating because of progress in computer science and linguistics. Only recently have researchers been able to test and refine algorithms on vast data samples. <br />“The economic impact will be huge,” said Tom Mitchell, chairman of the machine learning department at Carnegie Mellon University in Pittsburgh. “We’re at the beginning of a 10-year period where we’re going to transition from computers that can’t understand language to a point where computers can understand quite a bit about language.”</p>
</blockquote>
<p><div class="article_textad"><div style="border-bottom:1px solid gray; text-align:center; color:gray; font-size:10px; width:100%;">Advertisement</div><br /><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>The True Shale Game-Changer </strong></p>
<p>A small energy company has replaced the infamous horizontal drilling technology with a newer, environmentally friendly method that is already pushing oil production into record-breaking territory...</p>
<p>We cover the full story — including the name of this little player — <a href="http://www.angelnexus.com/ta/?loc=web&adid=1975">right here.</a></p><hr size="1" /></div></p>
<p><strong>Google Buys AI</strong></p>
<p>Our good friend Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) has bought up eight robot companies in the past year including the up-and-comer Boston Dynamics, the company that built the famed BigDog and Cheetah robots.</p>
<p>Sunday, Google announced it paid $400 million for an artificial intelligence firm called DeepMind. So far, Google hasn't expanded on this purchase, but it does underline the threat of the <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/bill-gates-next-big-bet/4227">singularity</a>...</p>
<p>Technological singularity is the moment when artificial intelligence has progressed to the point where it is greater than human intelligence.</p>
<p>At this point, AI will grow exponentially. We are talking an explosion of computer knowledge and intelligence similar to the Cambrian explosion in terms of animals on earth.</p>
<p>Futurist Ray Kurzweil has theorized this will happen in the next 30 years; some believe it will be sooner.</p>
<p>I don't know about all that... though I'm not sure what I could do about it if I did.</p>
<p>But I do know one thing. The pace of change is quickening. And as it speeds up, money will be made.</p>
<p>Select robot and AI stocks will launch much like early Internet or PC stocks. Those of us who are old enough remember when those tech stocks went up hundreds of times over.</p>
<p>It is just the beginning.</p>
<p>All the best,</p>
<p><p><img style="margin: 7px;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/25/9077/christian-dehaemer-signature.png" border="0" alt="Christian DeHaemer Signature" /></p>
<p>Christian DeHaemer</p>
<p><a href="https://twitter.com/thedailyhammer" target="_blank"><img style="vertical-align: middle;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/50/11971/follow-basic.jpg" border="0" alt="follow basic" />@TheDailyHammer on Twitter</a></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><em><span style="color: #333333;">Since 1995, Christian DeHaemer has specialized in frontier market opportunities. He has traveled extensively and invested in places as varied as Cuba, Mongolia, and Kenya. Chris believes the best way to make money is to get there first with the most. Christian is the founder of <a href="http://www.angelpub.com/pubs/cao">Crisis & Opportunity</a> and Managing Director of <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com">Wealth Daily</a>. He is also a contributor for <a href="http://www.energyandcapital.com">Energy & Capital.</a> For more on Christian, see his editor's <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/editors/christian-dehaemer">page.</a></span></em></p></p>2014-01-28T18:51:51Z2014-01-28T18:51:51Z4991Christian A. DeHaemerThe Hottest Sector Right NowBiotech stocks are on fire... and they're not slowing down. Here's why the biotech boom will continue to swell through 2014...<p>Biotech stocks are on fire...</p>
<p>There are three triple-digit gainers in this market already. Intercept Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: ICPT), Conatus Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: CNAT), and Neurocrine Biosciences (NASDAQ: NBIX) have each cleared the 100% mark for 2014.</p>
<p>ICPT launched almost 600% because the Data and Safety Monitoring Board stopped the test for its liver disease therapy early...</p>
<p>They stopped it because it worked too well!</p>
<p><img style="border: 0px; display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2014/03/22792/wd112.png" border="0" alt="wd112" width="600" /></p>
<p>The company received fast-track status for its trial drug that treats chronic liver disease. If approved, patients receiving the drug (obeticholic acid) could reduce the risk of needing a liver transplant.</p>
<p>And that's just one company...</p>
<p>Biotech and medical stocks in general are seeing some of the biggest gains since the late 1990s. Of the top 26 biggest performers of the year, 21 are in the health care sector, and the majority of those are in biotech.</p>
<p>At <em>Technology and Opportunity</em>, we caught the wave early. Our <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/biotech-stocks-outperform-the-sp-500/4148">biotech portfolio</a> is all in the green, without a single loser and with winners of 82%, 58%, and 41% in just a few months.</p>
<p>We have two more medical stock recommendations in our next issue.</p>
<p><strong>Best Market in 15 Years</strong></p>
<p>Biotech is a cyclical business. Big companies make money on big drugs, but there is always a time crunch as the drugs go off patent. More than $60 billion in revenue was lost by big pharma from 2010 to 2012, and another $65 billion will be lost by 2017.</p>
<p>To replenish the coffers, these companies stock their pipelines through mergers and buyouts. But that's not the only story...</p>
<p>Over the past few years, there have been massive technological advances, like the sequencing of the genome coupled with data-crunching supercomputers, that have accelerated learning in biology. These great leaps forward have lead to a surge in productivity and innovation.</p>
<p>You are just starting to see this with a host of new FDA-approved drugs. In 2013, 27 new drugs were approved, with several designated as breakthrough therapies. In 2012, 39 new drugs were approved — the most in 15 years.</p>
<p><div class="article_textad"><div style="border-bottom:1px solid gray; text-align:center; color:gray; font-size:10px; width:100%;">Advertisement</div><br /><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>The Messiah's Been Robbed!</strong></p>
<p>Jesus Christ's power to heal the blind has been STOLEN by California scientists.</p>
<p>Their new medical device allows 8 million blind people to see again... and gives early investors the chance to bank 1,158% gains.</p>
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<p>While some companies launch the drugs themselves and become profitable, like Regeneron (NASDAQ: REGN), other get bought out by big pharma. Companies like Omthera, which is working on omega-3 fish oil products, was bought out by AstraZeneca last summer.</p>
<p>According to <em>Bloomberg,</em> the M&As are ramping up:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>“Deal activity has already taken off in 2014. This week, General Electric Co. (GE) agreed to pay about $1.06 billion for medical equipment businesses from Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (TMO), while Forest Laboratories Inc. (FRX) said it will buy Aptalis Pharma for $2.9 billion to add treatments for gastrointestinal ailments and cystic fibrosis. New York-based Forest’s stock rose 18 percent, the most in at least 33 years.”</p>
</blockquote>
<p>It's unusual that shares in the company doing the buying go up. That says something about this market.</p>
<p>Can it continue? Sure it can. iShares Biotechnology (NASDAQ: IBB) has a P/E of 26. That's a little rich, but it's nothing like 15 years ago, when the P/Es were in the triple digits.</p>
<p>Judging from the share action, the speculators are back. And for those willing to take the risk, these stocks still have room to run.</p>
<p>Until next time,</p>
<p><p><img style="margin: 7px;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/25/9077/christian-dehaemer-signature.png" border="0" alt="Christian DeHaemer Signature" /></p>
<p>Christian DeHaemer</p>
<p><a href="https://twitter.com/thedailyhammer" target="_blank"><img style="vertical-align: middle;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/50/11971/follow-basic.jpg" border="0" alt="follow basic" />@TheDailyHammer on Twitter</a></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><em><span style="color: #333333;">Since 1995, Christian DeHaemer has specialized in frontier market opportunities. He has traveled extensively and invested in places as varied as Cuba, Mongolia, and Kenya. Chris believes the best way to make money is to get there first with the most. Christian is the founder of <a href="http://www.angelpub.com/pubs/cao">Crisis & Opportunity</a> and Managing Director of <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com">Wealth Daily</a>. He is also a contributor for <a href="http://www.energyandcapital.com">Energy & Capital.</a> For more on Christian, see his editor's <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/editors/christian-dehaemer">page.</a></span></em></p></p>2014-01-14T18:55:32Z2014-01-14T18:55:32Z4955Christian A. DeHaemerFive Big Booms for 2014These five trends will come out of nowhere and change the world in 2014.<p>Here are five trends that will change the world in 2014:</p>
<p><strong>1. Artificial Intelligence</strong></p>
<p><em>Forbes</em> magazine recently reported, "The largest class on campus this fall at Stanford was a graduate level machine-learning course covering both statistical and biological approaches, taught by the computer scientist Andrew Ng. More than 760 students enrolled.”</p>
<p>Courses on machine learning are in high demand because learning machines are in high demand. Everything from spam filters to search engines and photo tags uses learning computers with a basic form of artificial intelligence.</p>
<p><strong>2. Space</strong></p>
<p>You may not know it, but the space race is on. China just sent a rover to the moon. India, South Korea, Argentina, and Iran have all announced space programs.</p>
<p>Several private companies such as Space X, Virgin, and Blue Origins are making space flight cheaper, faster, and more reliable.</p>
<p>I used to think there was no way I'd go to space in my lifetime. Now, I can easily envision a time 10 or 20 years from now where I could pay a few thousand dollars to ride above the atmosphere.</p>
<p><strong>3. Robots</strong></p>
<p>The price of robot component parts has dropped to the point where robots are able to replace low-cost workers like burger flippers.</p>
<p>Apple is spending $10 billion to bring its production back to the United States. Google has bought six <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/resources/why-invest-in-robots">robotics companies</a> in the last two years. And Amazon made a big deal out of its plans for a delivery drone, which are implausible at best but did manage to catch the world's attention.</p>
<p>It's a good bet that when three of the most innovative companies in the world start spending big bucks on robots, something is happening.</p>
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<p><strong>4. Stem Cells</strong></p>
<p>Stem cells are undifferentiated biological cells that can differentiate into specialized cells and can divide (through mitosis) to produce more stem cells. In other words, they are the blank slate that can be turned into human parts.</p>
<p>Every day, it seems we have a new organ grown in a petri dish using stem cells. Today it was a kidney. In the past, it has been a heart, a liver, and an ear.</p>
<p>The stem cell market is growing rapidly as regulations ease and patients are finding solutions to their ailments. More money is being spent on R&D as the U.S. tries to catch up to South Korea, Israel, and others.</p>
<p><strong>5. Mexican Oil</strong></p>
<p>The Mexican government just overturned its constitution and opened up the doors for companies other than PEMEX to explore for and develop oil. The IEA estimates that the country has more <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/heres-the-next-big-bakken-winner/4509">undiscovered oil</a> than anywhere else on earth with the exception of the Arctic.</p>
<p>Big oil companies like ExxonMobil, BP, Sinopec, and Halliburton will benefit, as the new black gold rush is on. Look to the Chinese to be big players south of the border.</p>
<p>This next flood of fracking profits will put a lid on rising oil prices and create a boom industry for pipelines builders.</p>
<p>Happy New Year,</p>
<p><p><img style="margin: 7px;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/25/9077/christian-dehaemer-signature.png" border="0" alt="Christian DeHaemer Signature" /></p>
<p>Christian DeHaemer</p>
<p><a href="https://twitter.com/thedailyhammer" target="_blank"><img style="vertical-align: middle;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/50/11971/follow-basic.jpg" border="0" alt="follow basic" />@TheDailyHammer on Twitter</a></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><em><span style="color: #333333;">Since 1995, Christian DeHaemer has specialized in frontier market opportunities. He has traveled extensively and invested in places as varied as Cuba, Mongolia, and Kenya. Chris believes the best way to make money is to get there first with the most. Christian is the founder of <a href="http://www.angelpub.com/pubs/cao">Crisis & Opportunity</a> and Managing Director of <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com">Wealth Daily</a>. He is also a contributor for <a href="http://www.energyandcapital.com">Energy & Capital.</a> For more on Christian, see his editor's <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/editors/christian-dehaemer">page.</a></span></em></p></p>2013-12-31T16:52:15Z2013-12-31T16:52:15Z4919Christian A. DeHaemerBuy a Call Option On This Bull MarketAt this point in a four-year bull run, you might be thinking the market is getting over-valued and it's too late to dive in. Well, here's a bullish example of using call options to leverage up your profits...<p>If you've been thinking about getting that third mortgage and buying wacky, out-of-the-money call options on the U.S., you're not the only one. There has been a raft of bullish news lately.</p>
<p>The ISM Manufacturing number printed stronger than expected at 57.3. This is the strongest it has been since April 2011.</p>
<p>Jobless claims fell again for the sixth week out of seven.</p>
<p>The price of oil continues to drop as inventories rise well above historical averages.</p>
<p>According to Case-Schiller, home prices are up 13.30% this year.</p>
<p>And if that wasn't enough, the Nasdaq has cracked the 4,000 barrier to the upside.</p>
<p><strong>Bulls, Baby</strong></p>
<p>At this point in a four-year bull run, you might be thinking the market is getting over-valued and it's too late to dive in. You have every right to think “I'm not going to be a sucker this time” after two major stock market meltdowns within a decade – and a housing implosion to boot!</p>
<p>Here's the thing: You don't have to go all in to still make money from this bull market. You can keep 90% of your money in bonds or gold or under the mattress – wherever you feel is safe. Then you can take 10% and leverage up into options. This will put your money to work without risking all of it. </p>
<p>Here's how to do it.</p>
<p><strong>Options and You: Making Bank </strong></p>
<p>Let's say Dell is trading around $11, and you think it's headed higher. You want to buy 100 shares, but that would cost $1,100 – and maybe you don't want to spend that much upfront and tie up your capital. Maybe you can't afford to pay it all now.</p>
<p>Here's the options alternative...</p>
<p>Rather than pass on the trade, you can buy one call option on Dell in anticipation of its value rising in the future. This gives you the right to buy those 100 shares at your desired <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/silver-strike/4037">strike price</a> at or before options expiration for a much lower cost.</p>
<p>For that right, you pay the option seller to "hold" the shares for you at that set price until expiration (in other words, the premium).</p>
<p>You just have to decide how high you think Dell shares will rise – and over what period of time – so you know which option to buy.</p>
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<p><strong>How To Buy</strong></p>
<p><strong></strong>To execute an option buy, the official lingo is "buy to open."</p>
<p>So having looked at Dell's options chain, you decide to buy the $15 call, which expires in seven months.</p>
<p>To ensure that you get the best possible execution price for this trade (or any trade, for that matter), make sure you use a limit order when you "buy to open." This is basically an instruction to the brokerage to only buy the asset at or under a specific price.</p>
<p>The best way to do it is to set the limit order price about halfway between the bid price (the price at which a buyer is willing to pay) and ask price (the price at which a seller is willing to sell) on the options chain.</p>
<p>Remember that the current price of an asset only reflects the last trade, whereas the <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/high-speed-trading-opportunities/4496">bid and ask prices</a> are more accurate representations of the prices you can buy and sell for. So rather than pay the "market price," the better play is to use limit orders. Once the price hits your limit price, the trade will be executed.</p>
<p>So for example, if the bid price for the $15 call option is $0.45 per contract and the ask price is $0.55, you'd instruct your brokerage to: "Buy to open the Dell November 2009 $15 call with a limit order of $0.50." Or better yet, type it into the form using an online broker like E-Trade.</p>
<p>In our Dell example, given that the contract comprises 100 shares, your outlay for the $15 call would be $50 ($0.50 x 100 = $50). As you can see, that's significantly less than the $1,100 you'd shell out for buying the 100 shares outright.</p>
<p>So with $15 as your strike price, you now have the right to buy those 100 Dell shares for $15 a piece any time before the expiration date on the third Friday of November. Ideally, you want the shares to be higher than $15 by expiration, thus enabling you to either buy them for less than the current market price or make a very good profit on your call option.</p>
<p>This is the beauty of buying call options – you greatly increase your leverage. To control the same number of shares (100), you have just $50 at risk versus $1,100. You'll also emerge with a greater profit, as option prices move more dramatically than the underlying asset.</p>
<p>The danger here is that if Dell's share price doesn't move higher and you don't sell in time, the option will expire worthless, and you'll lose the money you paid for it. But then again, your 50 bucks could turn into $100 in a matter of days.</p>
<p>If you like to make money fast and can stomach the volatility, options trading is for you.</p>
<p><p><img style="margin: 7px;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/25/9077/christian-dehaemer-signature.png" border="0" alt="Christian DeHaemer Signature" /></p>
<p>Christian DeHaemer</p>
<p><a href="https://twitter.com/thedailyhammer" target="_blank"><img style="vertical-align: middle;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/50/11971/follow-basic.jpg" border="0" alt="follow basic" />@TheDailyHammer on Twitter</a></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><em><span style="color: #333333;">Since 1995, Christian DeHaemer has specialized in frontier market opportunities. He has traveled extensively and invested in places as varied as Cuba, Mongolia, and Kenya. Chris believes the best way to make money is to get there first with the most. Christian is the founder of <a href="http://www.angelpub.com/pubs/cao">Crisis & Opportunity</a> and Managing Director of <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com">Wealth Daily</a>. He is also a contributor for <a href="http://www.energyandcapital.com">Energy & Capital.</a> For more on Christian, see his editor's <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/editors/christian-dehaemer">page.</a></span></em></p></p>2013-12-10T18:31:14Z2013-12-10T18:31:14Z4847Christian A. DeHaemerAlways Bet on Government SpendingThe market has room to keep going up, and it's all thanks to the Fed. Four reasons the Fed won't taper until March 2014... at the earliest.<p>The market is hitting new all-time highs almost every day.</p>
<p>The S&P500 is up 30% this year alone.</p>
<p>You would think that with such massive gains, people would be in the streets, partying like it's 1999...</p>
<p>They're not.</p>
<p>Mom-and-pop investors have been whipsawed twice in a decade. They've bought at the top and sold at the bottom. Many people who watched their dot-com stocks get crushed in 2000, sold everything and bought into a more safe investment — housing — only to watch the real estate market devour itself.</p>
<p>Now that stocks are once again climbing, they are reluctant to buy again.</p>
<p><strong>The Fed Says, "Buy!"</strong></p>
<p>Or it could be that everyone knows <em>why</em> the stock market is going up...</p>
<p>Because the Fed is printing money.</p>
<p>Here is a chart showing Fed printing versus the Dow Jones Industrial Average:</p>
<p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; border: 0px none;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2013/48/22298/fedc.png" border="0" alt="fedc" width="580" /> <br />Fed assets (the blue line) are going up faster than the Dow (the red line).</p>
<p>The bears would say this is a bad thing; the market rally is inorganic and not based on fundamentals. The massive debt, crony capitalism, and poor leadership from Washington are still there.</p>
<p>This is all true.</p>
<p>But I happen to trade in the church of what's happening <span style="text-decoration: underline;">now.</span></p>
<p>We all believe in <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/the-free-market-and-its-enemies/4753">free market capitalism</a>... but, like Sasquatch, it doesn't exist in the real world.</p>
<p>The question now is (as it always is): <em>Will stocks go up or down from here?</em></p>
<p>If you believe the Fed has caused the stock market boom of the last five years, and there is convincing evidence you'd be right, then you have to believe that the stock market will continue to go up until the Fed stops QE.</p>
<p><strong>No Bubble Yet</strong></p>
<p>It could be that in the short-term money printing will work, and stocks will go up after the taper. After all, the market isn't in bubble territory...</p>
<p>The P/E ratio on the SP500 is at 15.4. At the top of the dot-com bubble in 2000, the P/E ratio was 35.</p>
<p>It should also be noted that after every boom and bust, the next boom has a higher P/E ratio than the top of the last boom. This has been true going back to the boom-bust cycle of the 1870s.</p>
<p>This has to do with the expanding popularity of the stock market. In the 1920s, something like 8% of the population owned stocks. However, in 2007, stock ownership hit the high-water mark at 65% of Americans. Interestingly, stock ownership was a bit lower (62%) in 2000, as the dot-com investing frenzy was peaking.</p>
<p>That said, in the post-2008 bust, stock ownership has declined among both employed and unemployed Americans and across all income groups.</p>
<p>According to the <em>Christian Science Monitor: </em></p>
<blockquote>
<p>In percentage terms, the biggest decline is a 16 percentage-point drop among middle-income Americans since 2008. Back then, 66% of U.S. adults earning between $30,000 and $74,999 owned stock. Today that figure is 50%.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Markets don't top until the greatest fool has bought. And we aren't there yet.</p>
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<p><strong>Taper Off Until March</strong></p>
<p>Regardless of market valuation, <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/what-happens-when-bernanke-quits/4400">Bernanke</a> has stated he won't end the money printing until unemployment is at 6.5%, or we get inflation.</p>
<p>Well, the unemployment rate is now at 7.3%; and the inflation rate is at 0.96%.</p>
<p>This leaves the Fed plenty of wiggle room to print more money — and print they will.</p>
<p>Here's why...</p>
<p>1. Bernanke will be replaced by Janet Yellen at the end of the year. Yellen has made it glaringly obvious that she likes to print money.</p>
<p>2. Bernanke won't change QE right before his replacement shows up. He doesn't want to take the heat or lose a potential payday, as his next job will be working for some Wall Street firm, like Goldman Sachs.</p>
<p>3. Janet Yellen won't act until all of the numbers are in her favor. This means she'll have to wait for the holiday retail, winter housing, and fresh jobs numbers.</p>
<p>This will also be after the federal government's annual fight over fiscal issues.</p>
<p>If all of that data is positive — and the GDP numbers keep going up (third quarter was 2.8%) — the Fed can taper, and the market could still go up.</p>
<p>4. The Fed always prints at least two quarters too long. They did it after the 1998 emerging market meltdown, which caused the dot-com bubble. They did it again during the housing bubble in the mid-2000s.</p>
<p>It's always good to bet the government will spend more money.</p>
<p>All the best,</p>
<p><p><img style="margin: 7px;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/25/9077/christian-dehaemer-signature.png" border="0" alt="Christian DeHaemer Signature" /></p>
<p>Christian DeHaemer</p>
<p><a href="https://twitter.com/thedailyhammer" target="_blank"><img style="vertical-align: middle;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/50/11971/follow-basic.jpg" border="0" alt="follow basic" />@TheDailyHammer on Twitter</a></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><em><span style="color: #333333;">Since 1995, Christian DeHaemer has specialized in frontier market opportunities. He has traveled extensively and invested in places as varied as Cuba, Mongolia, and Kenya. Chris believes the best way to make money is to get there first with the most. Christian is the founder of <a href="http://www.angelpub.com/pubs/cao">Crisis & Opportunity</a> and Managing Director of <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com">Wealth Daily</a>. He is also a contributor for <a href="http://www.energyandcapital.com">Energy & Capital.</a> For more on Christian, see his editor's <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/editors/christian-dehaemer">page.</a></span></em></p></p>2013-11-26T19:12:22Z2013-11-26T19:12:22Z4836Christian A. DeHaemerUnderwater RobotsThere's thought to be more than 85 billion barrels of undiscovered crude off the coast of the U.S. -- more than enough oil to last the United States for a decade.<p>As you may know, an underwater robot named "Argo" was responsible for discovering the wreckage of the <em>Titanic</em> back in 1985, at a depth of nearly 12,000 feet.</p>
<p>Since then, underwater robots have come a long way and found a number of profitable uses — not the least of which is finding deep-sea oil.</p>
<p>Modern society consumes tremendous amounts of oil...</p>
<p>According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, the United States consumes over 18 million barrels of oil per day. In 2012, the world consumed nearly 90 million barrels of oil per day. That's a record.</p>
<p>But here's the thing: Despite recent oil discoveries in the Bakken region of the United States, the demand for oil is insatiable.</p>
<p>That's because many of the on-land, traditional oil wells are running dry.</p>
<p>"There's no where left to drill," says oilman T. Boone Pickens.</p>
<p>For this reason, more Big Oil titans — companies like Exxon, Shell, Chevron, BP, and Petrobras — are venturing into the ocean in search of oil riches.</p>
<p>And make no mistake; that's <em>exactly</em> where the oil is...</p>
<p>The U.S. government estimates that the Gulf of Mexico holds somewhere around 70 billion barrels of oil.</p>
<p>Combined with the entire Outer Continental Shelf, there's thought to be more than 85 billion barrels of undiscovered crude off the coast of the United States — more than enough oil to last the United States for a decade.</p>
<p>By 2020, 40% of U.S. oil could come from offshore, according to analysts at IHS Cambridge Energy Research Associates.</p>
<p>According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), more than half the oil discovered since 2000 is in deep water.</p>
<p>In fact, Petrobras discovered a staggering eight-billion-barrel oil field off the coast of Brazil. That's the size of the entire Bakken oil field located in the United States!</p>
<p>What's incredible is Petrobras then found <em>another</em> oil field off Brazil that has an estimated 40 billion barrels of oil.</p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;">This is the biggest oil field discovery in over 30 years — onshore or off.</span></p>
<p>Bottom line: There are massive quantities of oil under the ocean.</p>
<p>It truly is oil's final frontier.</p>
<p>The only problem is drilling on the bottom of the sea has proven difficult...</p>
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<p align="LEFT"><strong>Deep and Dangerous</strong></p>
<p>The seabed is a dangerous place. The pressure is strong enough to crush a dump truck. And the farther down you go, the less traditional drilling methods work.</p>
<p>This is where underwater robots, called Remotely Operated Vehicles (ROVs), come in...</p>
<p>ROVs are unoccupied, highly maneuverable, and operated by a person aboard a vessel.</p>
<p>They are loaded with the most sophisticated technology on the planet: cutting-edge video transmission equipment, still cameras, acoustic positioning systems, sonars, and magnetometers.</p>
<p>In addition, ROVs have robotic arms that can lift over five tons. They have multiple "manipulators" and "grabbers" capable of performing numerous deep-sea tasks.</p>
<p>Most importantly, ROVs can go places humans can't. And they can do everything a human can do... and more.</p>
<p><strong>Going Down</strong></p>
<p>Needless to say, the intersection between deepwater drilling and ROVs equals profits.</p>
<p>According to the <em>Houston Business Journal</em>:</p>
<blockquote>
<p><strong>Between 2013 and 2017, companies are expected to increase their spending on working class ROVs by about 80%. </strong></p>
<p><strong>Total expenditure on ROVs is expected to be $9.7 billion between 2013 and 2017.</strong></p>
</blockquote>
<p>Douglas-Westwood, an oil industry research group, reports:</p>
<blockquote>
<p><strong>As operators look to increase the profitability and efficiency of their subsea developments, there will be a surge of demand for exceptionally powerful work-class ROVs, able to perform the support work needed in an industry where new technologies and processes are vital.</strong></p>
</blockquote>
<p>You'd better act fast... there are already companies with massive fleets of underwater robots, and they're climbing steadily.</p>
<p>For your profits,</p>
<p><p><img style="margin: 7px;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/25/9077/christian-dehaemer-signature.png" border="0" alt="Christian DeHaemer Signature" /></p>
<p>Christian DeHaemer</p>
<p><a href="https://twitter.com/thedailyhammer" target="_blank"><img style="vertical-align: middle;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/50/11971/follow-basic.jpg" border="0" alt="follow basic" />@TheDailyHammer on Twitter</a></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><em><span style="color: #333333;">Since 1995, Christian DeHaemer has specialized in frontier market opportunities. He has traveled extensively and invested in places as varied as Cuba, Mongolia, and Kenya. Chris believes the best way to make money is to get there first with the most. Christian is the founder of <a href="http://www.angelpub.com/pubs/cao">Crisis & Opportunity</a> and Managing Director of <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com">Wealth Daily</a>. He is also a contributor for <a href="http://www.energyandcapital.com">Energy & Capital.</a> For more on Christian, see his editor's <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/editors/christian-dehaemer">page.</a></span></em></p></p>2013-11-12T16:37:18Z2013-11-12T16:37:18Z4796Christian A. DeHaemerRun Point on the Drone WarsWe believe the robotics industry in all its various forms has reached a tipping point... and those investors with the foresight to start buying these companies today will see returns akin to those who bought Ford in 1907, or Microsoft in 1988. <p>When you think of drones, you generally think of large military aircraft dropping hellfire missiles on unsuspecting terrorists deep in the badlands of Afghanistan...</p>
<p>But what you may not know is that the most popular military drones weigh less than 55 pounds.</p>
<p>In fact, more than 5,000 of these small drones have been deployed to run point over the last ten years. And this business is expected to double annually over the next decade.</p>
<p>According to <em>Bloomberg</em>, drone spending is expected to reach more than $89 billion over the next ten years, with annual expenditures more than doubling from $5.2 billion to $11.6 billion.</p>
<p>What may come as a surprise is that a large part of this robot boom will come from civilians.</p>
<p>Big companies like Boeing will continue to build and sell drones, but smaller companies like AeroVironment, Inc. (NASDAQ: AVAV) are making inroads...</p>
<p>Civilian drones are gaining in popularity to the point that Congress passed a law last year giving the Federal Aviation Administration until 2015 to write rules for integrating unmanned aircraft into the nation’s airspace.</p>
<p>Lawmakers also ordered the agency to move faster on standards for drones weighing less than 55 pounds.</p>
<p>More recently, two <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/resources/why-invest-in-robots">unmanned aircraft systems</a> — the Scan Eagle X200 and AeroVironment’s PUMA — were approved for civilian use. They both measure around 4.5 feet long, weigh less than 55 pounds, and have a wingspan of ten and nine feet, respectively.</p>
<p>The PUMA is expected to support emergency response crews for wildlife surveillance and oil spill monitoring over the Beaufort Sea to the north of Canada and Alaska.</p>
<p>The Scan Eagle will be used by a major energy company off the Alaskan Coast to survey ice flows and migrating whales in Arctic oil exploration areas.</p>
<p>Expect civilian use to expand. New York Mayor Nanny Bloomberg said they will soon be used by the NYPD, if they aren't already...</p>
<p><strong>Big Player in Small Drones</strong></p>
<p>AeroVironment is a big player in these little drones.</p>
<p>The company recently received a contract to supply more of its Raven aircraft to the United States Army. It's officially called the RQ-11B Raven unmanned aircraft system, with Mantis i23 gimbaled sensor payloads.</p>
<p>This $20 million deal was awarded last December to update the current Raven fleet.</p>
<p><img style="margin: 10px; border: 0px none; float: right;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2013/44/21952/rq-raven.jpg" border="0" alt="rq raven" /></p>
<p>AeroVironment claims:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;">The Army's Raven system, with AeroVironment's rugged gimbaled sensor payload and the recent digital data link upgrade of its entire fleet, is a modern tool for gaining superiority on the battlefield.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;">The Mantis i23 is a rugged, multi-axis sensor payload with pan, tilt and zoom.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;">It means that troops can spy ahead for trouble using normal optical sensors and infrared to see in the dark. The little drone weighs only 4.5lbs and can range up to 10km on the battlefield.</p>
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<p>AVAV has been on fire recently.</p>
<p>Its share price has climbed from $18 in April to $26.75 today.</p>
<p>The company has a market cap of $594 million and a high P/E of 128. Clearly, investors are banking on the future.</p>
<p>The company has -25% revenue growth and $225 million in sales. They have $128 million in cash and zero debt.</p>
<p>Over the past six months, there have been 324,740 shares sold by insiders and 50,000 shares bought. The buys were back in April when the shares were cheap.</p>
<p>AVAV might be a good, innovative company, but the doji on the candlestick chart would suggest that it is overdue for a pullback.</p>
<p>That said, if the militarization of the <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/police-force-blood-draws-on-citizens/4447">U.S. police force</a> continues apace and every Podunk deputy in Hazard County uses his Homeland Security budget to buy one of these, you could see AVAV run like Taser (NASDAQ: TASR) in 2003, when it went from $2 to $29...</p>
<p>AeroVironment could be a great buy at some point, but I'm waiting for a dip below $24.50 before I load up.</p>
<p>All the best,</p>
<p><img style="margin: 7px;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/25/9077/christian-dehaemer-signature.png" border="0" alt="Christian DeHaemer Signature" /></p>
<p>Christian DeHaemer</p>
<p><a href="https://twitter.com/thedailyhammer" target="_blank"><img style="vertical-align: middle;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/50/11971/follow-basic.jpg" border="0" alt="follow basic" />@TheDailyHammer on Twitter</a></p>
<p>P.S. Here at Angel Publishing, we believe the robotics industry in all its various forms has reached a tipping point.</p>
<p>The component parts have become cheap enough and wages so expensive that the third industrial revolution is upon us... Those investors with the foresight to start buying these companies today will see returns akin to those who bought Ford in 1907, or Microsoft in 1988.</p>
<p><strong>In fact, we are so convinced of this that we created a newsletter to cover this sector. We hope you will join us. First refusals begin on Thursday. Keep an eye out. </strong></p>2013-10-29T16:49:50Z2013-10-29T16:49:50Z4761Christian A. DeHaemerThe China BuyThe first question you have to ask when looking for an investment like this is: What is the most hated industry in the world? Right now, you'd be hard-pressed to find a sector more hated than Chinese banks.<p>Back in 2009, Warren Buffett started buying up shares in U.S. banks after they got crushed by the market.</p>
<p>His gamble paid off, and recent reports are that he has made more than $10 billion on that deal.</p>
<p>As I like to emulate greatness, I recommended a beaten-down Greek bank, the National Bank of Greece, to readers of my <em>Crisis and Opportunity </em>service in July.</p>
<p>It is up 80% since my recommendation.</p>
<p>As you remember, Greece was the most hated investment on the planet just a few months ago, and Greek banks in particular.</p>
<p>This is how contrarian investments work — and why they pay off big...</p>
<p>The very fact that investors hate a particular sector means that all the sellers are out, and no one is left but potential buyers. This is when we step in and buy the fear.</p>
<p>Later, when there is good news, others will become greedy and buy the stock from us at a premium.</p>
<p>The first question you have to ask when looking for an investment like this is: <em>What is the most hated industry in the world?</em></p>
<p>Right now, you'd be hard-pressed to find a sector more hated than Chinese banks.</p>
<p>There has been a lot of ink spilled on the Chinese building houses that no one lives in and other misallocations of investments. This idea, coupled with the new leadership and a slowdown in the export market, has put a lid on Chinese investments.</p>
<p><strong>The Dragon Awakes</strong></p>
<p>But this could all be changing.</p>
<p>China, the world’s second largest economy, grew at a 7.8% annual pace in the third quarter.</p>
<p>The reactions from most analysts I've read have been that these numbers are either bogus, or that the growth isn't going to continue.</p>
<p>In my mind, this is positive for investments. It means they are still waiting to buy.</p>
<p>The truth is that Wall Street isn't looking at the big picture. China wants to make its currency, the RMB, equal to that of the dollar, yen, or euro. This will give it weight on the world trading stage and reduce its reliance on foreign currencies.</p>
<p>In light of the staggering debt burden carried by its three competitors, it makes perfect sense. China is a creditor nation that holds foreign currency in reserves.</p>
<p>The United States, Europe, and Japan all owe more than 100% of GDP in debt.</p>
<p>The most recent quote to come out of the Washington government shutdown debacle was, “We have to increase our debt to pay our bills.”</p>
<p>This boggles the mind.</p>
<p><strong>China's Defense</strong></p>
<p>To prevent its $3.7 trillion in foreign currency from being inflated away, China is boosting the strength of its own currency by letting it float and by buying lots of gold.</p>
<p>The Chinese central bank imported 131 gross tons of gold in the month of August. This is a 146% increase compared to a year prior — <span style="text-decoration: underline;">the second highest gold importing month in Chinese history.</span></p>
<p>China has imported 2,116 tons of gold in the past two years. This is in addition to the gold the Middle Kingdom has produced domestically.</p>
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<p>The People's Bank of China is aggressively seeking to make the RMB the only large gold-backed reserve currency in the world. It's working. The RMB rose a record amount against the dollar last Monday.</p>
<p>Furthermore, the U.K. recently allowed investors to buy Chinese shares with offshore RMB. This will boost the international scope of the currency. They are talking about expanding the use of the RMB in the United States as well.</p>
<p>Obviously, the way to play a rising RMB and a falling dollar is to buy assets in RMB.</p>
<p><strong>Undervalued Chinese Banks</strong></p>
<p>Right now, Chinese banks are undervalued.</p>
<p>The Chinese Financial ETF (CHIX) has a P/E of 7 and a dividend yield of 2.90. The S&P 500 has a P/E around 15.</p>
<p>Bank of America (BAC), the bank Buffett made money on, now has a P/E of 32.</p>
<p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2013/43/21868/global-x.png" border="0" alt="global x" /></p>
<p>As you can tell by the chart, the downtrend has been broken and volume has returned.</p>
<p>The CHIX is a solid value speculation on an expanding Chinese economy that is increasingly backed with gold.</p>
<p>We've been aggressively adding Chinese stocks to the <em>Crisis and Opportunity</em> portfolio...</p>
<p>Our picks are up 16%, 3.54%, and 22.34% — with no losers. But it's still early. These companies are undervalued, with lots of room to run.</p>
<p>All the best,</p>
<p><p><img style="margin: 7px;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/25/9077/christian-dehaemer-signature.png" border="0" alt="Christian DeHaemer Signature" /></p>
<p>Christian DeHaemer</p>
<p><a href="https://twitter.com/thedailyhammer" target="_blank"><img style="vertical-align: middle;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/50/11971/follow-basic.jpg" border="0" alt="follow basic" />@TheDailyHammer on Twitter</a></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><em><span style="color: #333333;">Since 1995, Christian DeHaemer has specialized in frontier market opportunities. He has traveled extensively and invested in places as varied as Cuba, Mongolia, and Kenya. Chris believes the best way to make money is to get there first with the most. Christian is the founder of <a href="http://www.angelpub.com/pubs/cao">Crisis & Opportunity</a> and Managing Director of <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com">Wealth Daily</a>. He is also a contributor for <a href="http://www.energyandcapital.com">Energy & Capital.</a> For more on Christian, see his editor's <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/editors/christian-dehaemer">page.</a></span></em></p></p>2013-10-22T17:15:57Z2013-10-22T17:15:57Z4744Christian A. DeHaemerFLNG Will Be a Game-ChangerThis floating LNG beast will be the largest floating thing ever built. It will displace 600,000 metric tons of water. It will be 1,500 meters long and will contain 260,000 metric tons of steel. <p>Two and a half years ago, I wrote about Royal Dutch Shell (RDS-A) creating a giant LNG platform that was five times the size of an aircraft carrier.</p>
<p>It seemed like science fiction...</p>
<p>Now it's closer than ever to becoming reality.</p>
<p>The idea was to build a floating liquid natural gas plant (FLNG) called the Prelude FLNG Project, a massive vessel with the goal of reaping offshore natural gas fields.</p>
<p>It is being constructed today in South Korea and will launch in 2017.</p>
<p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; border: 0px none;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2013/41/21668/flng.png" border="0" alt="flng" width="600" /></p>
<p>The Prelude facility will process up to 110,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day and supercool natural gas to -162°C, reducing its volume by 600 times so it can be shipped to customers around the world.</p>
<p>The FLNG plant is an all-in-one floating LNG processer. It will extract gas, process it, and liquefy it directly above the gas reserves, then load it on tankers for shipping. This means you don't have to worry about pipelines or transporting gas to traditional onshore processing.</p>
<p>The plant is expected to have an annual production capacity of 3.5 million to 4 million tons of LNG.</p>
<p>The plant will come complete with a host of electronics and tools, such as underwater robots and seismic technology to locate new fields and provide real-time geographic information.</p>
<p><strong>Size of Six <em>USS George Washington</em>s</strong></p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;">This LNG vessel will be the largest floating thing ever built. </span></p>
<p>It will displace 600,000 metric tons of water. It will be 1,500 meters long and will contain 260,000 metric tons of steel.</p>
<p>The company is building this leviathan at a cost of $12 billion to suck natural gas out of the Prelude field between Australia and East Timor for the next 25 years.</p>
<p>It is the solution to the question vexing Big Oil for years — that is, how to procure big underwater deposits of NG when there is no pipeline or other infrastructure...</p>
<p>And it has the added bonus of downplaying local politics.</p>
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<p><strong>Already Started Drilling...</strong></p>
<p>In preparation for this launch, Royal Dutch Shell has started drilling seven development wells 475 kilometers Northeast of Broome, Australia.</p>
<p>Shell has described floating LNG as a "game-changer" in the industry. And though RDS is the first mover, others are jumping on the bandwagon...</p>
<p>Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) and BHP Billiton (AMEX: BPH) are going to trump them by building <em>an even larger</em> FLNG for drilling off the northwestern shore of Australia. This vessel will be operational in 2020-2021 and is planned to be 0.3 miles long. That's five football fields in length.</p>
<p>The XOM FLNG would <span style="text-decoration: underline;">double</span> Shell's proposed FLNG in terms of production. Furthermore, the plant would increase Australia's current LNG production by nearly 30% a year — enough to supply all of Japan's LNG needs for a month.</p>
<p>These platforms have the added bonus of being able to be moved once the NG wells run dry.</p>
<p>The vessels are being built by Samsung Heavy Industries (KSE: 010145.KS), which has one of the few dry docks in the world that is big enough.</p>
<p><strong>Cheap Energy </strong></p>
<p>This, of course, pushes forward my dominant investment theory — that natural gas or liquefied natural gas will remain cheap and grow in use over the next decade.</p>
<p>Big Oil doesn't invest $12+ billion without a great deal of study...</p>
<p>In my <em>Crisis and Opportunity</em> newsletter, I've been recommending companies that will benefit from building infrastructure for LNG, or that make money from inexpensive NG/LNG.</p>
<p>One company is up 67.43% and has been increasing its backlog almost every week.</p>
<p>Another company is building a refinery in Louisiana to turn abundant natural gas into jet fuel.</p>
<p>Natural gas is the future. Climb aboard.</p>
<p>Good hunting,</p>
<p><p><img style="margin: 7px;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/25/9077/christian-dehaemer-signature.png" border="0" alt="Christian DeHaemer Signature" /></p>
<p>Christian DeHaemer</p>
<p><a href="https://twitter.com/thedailyhammer" target="_blank"><img style="vertical-align: middle;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/50/11971/follow-basic.jpg" border="0" alt="follow basic" />@TheDailyHammer on Twitter</a></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><em><span style="color: #333333;">Since 1995, Christian DeHaemer has specialized in frontier market opportunities. He has traveled extensively and invested in places as varied as Cuba, Mongolia, and Kenya. Chris believes the best way to make money is to get there first with the most. Christian is the founder of <a href="http://www.angelpub.com/pubs/cao">Crisis & Opportunity</a> and Managing Director of <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com">Wealth Daily</a>. He is also a contributor for <a href="http://www.energyandcapital.com">Energy & Capital.</a> For more on Christian, see his editor's <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/editors/christian-dehaemer">page.</a></span></em></p></p>2013-10-08T17:46:06Z2013-10-08T17:46:06Z4710Christian A. DeHaemerGetting Rich Like ShatnerRumor has it William Shatner made more than $600 million with Priceline, more than all his acting work combined.<p>Famed investor John Templeton once said, "Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria."</p>
<p>I have written numerous times in the past regarding the stages of a bull market...</p>
<p>John Templeton was right.</p>
<p>Do you remember back in 2008 when everything China was coming up roses?</p>
<p>There were stories that China was going to take over as the world's largest economy.</p>
<p>China was buying up all the commodities in the world... nine out of ten skyscraper building cranes were in use in China... etc., etc.</p>
<p>Well, if you had bought into the euphoria, hype, and speculation at the top, you would have lost two-thirds of your investment.</p>
<p>Here is what the Shanghai Index has looked like over the past six years: </p>
<p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2013/39/21524/china-double-bottom.png" border="0" alt="china double bottom" /></p>
<p>The Shanghai is interesting because it contains mostly retail investors. Large institutions are limited from investing in the Shanghai exchange; so in that regard, it might be the best “pure” stock market in the world.</p>
<p>As you can see, the Shanghai market just got hammered.</p>
<p>If you had bought at almost any time over the last half a decade, you would have lost money.</p>
<p>But to me, this chart looks great. I love it.</p>
<p>We have reached a point where none of the mom-and-pop money wants to invest in <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/china-buys-gold/4266">China</a> — yet at the same time, things are picking up...</p>
<p>HSBC recently reported that its measure of sentiment among manufacturing purchasing managers advanced to 51.2, the highest level in six months.</p>
<p>On a technical basis, the chart has put in a double bottom, has broken its downtrend line, and looks like it will break out to the upside.</p>
<p>It looks to me like all of the sellers have been squeezed out.</p>
<p>Any positive news from here on out will push Chinese stocks higher.</p>
<p><strong>Sir Templeton</strong></p>
<p>Getting back to John Templeton, who became a billionaire by pioneering mutual funds...</p>
<p>He was one of the first to invest in Japan in 1960.</p>
<p>Templeton made his bones during the Depression, when he bought 100 shares of each of the 109 NYSE stocks, then trading for under $1 a share. He made a fortune in the run-up to WWII.</p>
<p>In other words, he was a classic contrarian investor with a good eye for seeing the bottom.</p>
<p>If he were alive today, I can't help but think he would be buying China...</p>
<p>If bull markets are born on pessimism, then China as an investment has plenty.</p>
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<div>
When you thought of China five years ago, you thought it was the factory of the world.
</div>
<div>
</div>
<div>
When people think of China these days (if they do at all), they think of luxury ghost towns in the dessert... or corruption, crime, and workers at the Apple factory throwing themselves off buildings.
</div>
<p>But it's this very pessimism that makes China a powerful <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/safe-investing-in-bakken-oil/3978">investment opportunity</a>.</p>
<p>I know that many of you won't be buying China. You are, after all, human. Your instincts are toward herd preservation. If you do buy, it will be after the index has doubled and all of the easy money has been made.</p>
<p>But to be a great investor, you have to fight these instincts.</p>
<p>If you are worried when you are buying, that's a good sign.</p>
<p>If you need further proof, look at this chart...<br /><br /> <img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2013/39/21525/nasdaqdoublebottom.png" border="0" alt="nasdaqdoublebottom" /></p>
<p>That's the NASDAQ from 1999-2003. It had lost more than two-thirds its value.</p>
<p>Can you remember a decade ago?</p>
<p>Internet stocks were a joke. People were crying over losing their retirement when Fogdog and AOL crashed.</p>
<p>William Shatner refused to do more commercials for Priceline.com, because he didn't think they were going to make it.</p>
<p>Here is what the NASDAQ chart looks like from 2003-2008 after the double bottom:<br /><br /><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2013/39/21526/nas1.png" border="0" alt="nas1" /></p>
<p>That's a pretty good run, up 133%.</p>
<p>Now it's even better: a decade after the dot-com crash bottomed out, and the NASDAQ is trading at 3,787 up from its lows below 1,200.</p>
<p>That's an incredible run for an index.</p>
<p>You would have made even more if you'd picked specific stocks...</p>
<p>Priceline (NASDAQ: PCLN), for example, went from below $5 in 2003 to $998 today, a whopping 19,900% return.</p>
<p>Rumor has it Shatner made more than $600 million with Priceline — <em>more than all his acting work combined.</em></p>
<p>Good hunting,<br /><p><img style="margin: 7px;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/25/9077/christian-dehaemer-signature.png" border="0" alt="Christian DeHaemer Signature" /></p>
<p>Christian DeHaemer</p>
<p><a href="https://twitter.com/thedailyhammer" target="_blank"><img style="vertical-align: middle;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/50/11971/follow-basic.jpg" border="0" alt="follow basic" />@TheDailyHammer on Twitter</a></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><em><span style="color: #333333;">Since 1995, Christian DeHaemer has specialized in frontier market opportunities. He has traveled extensively and invested in places as varied as Cuba, Mongolia, and Kenya. Chris believes the best way to make money is to get there first with the most. Christian is the founder of <a href="http://www.angelpub.com/pubs/cao">Crisis & Opportunity</a> and Managing Director of <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com">Wealth Daily</a>. He is also a contributor for <a href="http://www.energyandcapital.com">Energy & Capital.</a> For more on Christian, see his editor's <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/editors/christian-dehaemer">page.</a></span></em></p></p>2013-09-24T18:28:25Z2013-09-24T18:28:25Z4675Christian A. DeHaemerYelp Is Setting Up for a CrashThe great irony, of course, is that the unlock rules were created to protect the small investor. In reality, the little guy ends up knowing just enough information to burn him.<p>A year ago August, Yelp Inc. (NYSE: YELP) had its six-month unlock date. This was the time when insiders had the legal ability to sell their shares.</p>
<p>But a funny thing happened... The insiders didn't sell — they bought.</p>
<p>The shorts got squeezed, and the shares pushed 30% higher into September.</p>
<p>Now, I've studied IPO unlocks for years. Shares rarely fall after the unlock date. They usually hit a bottom about a month <em>before</em> the unlock, and go up <em>after</em> the unlock.</p>
<p>This is just a variation on the “buy the rumor, sell the news” phenomenon we often see in the markets.</p>
<p>The great irony, of course, is that the unlock rules were created to protect the small investor. But in reality, the little guy ends up knowing just enough information to burn him...</p>
<p>After he shorts the stock, it goes up. Now he faces the hard choice of unlimited loses later, or a limited loss now. He chooses the former and buys back his short shares at a higher price. This pushes the shares up. The smart money sees this and buys — which pushes the stock up more, more shorts cover, etc.</p>
<p>This is the classic example of a short squeeze.</p>
<p>Here we are a year later, and Yelp has been running.</p>
<p>In fact, it has tripled this year, as you can see on this handy chart:</p>
<p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2013/37/21349/yelp.png" border="0" alt="yelp" /> <br />Yelp, as you are aware, is an Internet advertising company.</p>
<p>It posts reviews of small companies written by customers and gives these companies ratings. It also sells access to these reviews... If you pay them around $600 a month, you can get rid of bad reviews and ensure your company's name rises to the top of the search results for your given sector.</p>
<p>Yelp claims that its algorithm cuts the obvious good reviews that are plants from the owners, as well as the obvious bad news.</p>
<p>Unsurprisingly, there are many small businesses that don't want to pay for this “advertising,” and at least one has successfully sued Yelp.</p>
<p><em>BusinessWeek</em> reported that one lawyer publicized a court transcript in which the judge called Yelp “the modern-day version of the mafia.”</p>
<p>Yelp, of course, is now countersuing.</p>
<p>It could be that Yelp will win, but when your business model depends on credibility and good relationships with your consumer, and you have neither... well, that's not a company I want to own.</p>
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<p>Furthermore, the chart looks like a blow-off top caused by a buy rating from Deutsche Bank. The analyst claimed Yelp could have $1 billion in revenue within five years (at which point it would still be overvalued at four times sales)...</p>
<p>The MACD is bearish, and it looks like it will come back and fill that gap in the mid $40s.</p>
<p><strong>Yelp is Expensive</strong></p>
<p>Yelp is in nosebleed territory as far as valuation is concerned. The company now sports a market cap of $4 billion and an estimated forward P/E of 260 on revenues of just $178 million.</p>
<p>I would tell you its trailing earnings numbers, but alas, like Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), it has none.</p>
<p>The company has only $96 million in cash, which seems light coming off a recent <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/resources/ipo-watch-ipo-calendar">IPO</a>. And given they have no earnings, it could lead to a secondary offering, which would dilute shares and cause Yelp to lose value.</p>
<p>On the plus side, the company has zero debt and is expanding into emerging markets.</p>
<p><strong>Insider Dumping</strong></p>
<p>But none of these is the reason Yelp's share price is going to drop...</p>
<p>No. It's because insiders are selling en mass.</p>
<p>Over the last few months, 64 insider transactions have sold 5.4 million shares out of 7.2 million insider shares held. Institutions now own 121% of the float. That will go down soon.</p>
<p>If you own Yelp, it's time to take profits.</p>
<p>All the best,</p>
<p><p><img style="margin: 7px;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/25/9077/christian-dehaemer-signature.png" border="0" alt="Christian DeHaemer Signature" /></p>
<p>Christian DeHaemer</p>
<p><a href="https://twitter.com/thedailyhammer" target="_blank"><img style="vertical-align: middle;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/50/11971/follow-basic.jpg" border="0" alt="follow basic" />@TheDailyHammer on Twitter</a></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><em><span style="color: #333333;">Since 1995, Christian DeHaemer has specialized in frontier market opportunities. He has traveled extensively and invested in places as varied as Cuba, Mongolia, and Kenya. Chris believes the best way to make money is to get there first with the most. Christian is the founder of <a href="http://www.angelpub.com/pubs/cao">Crisis & Opportunity</a> and Managing Director of <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com">Wealth Daily</a>. He is also a contributor for <a href="http://www.energyandcapital.com">Energy & Capital.</a> For more on Christian, see his editor's <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/editors/christian-dehaemer">page.</a></span></em></p></p>2013-09-10T15:56:24Z2013-09-10T15:56:24Z4645Christian A. DeHaemerSilver Going Up AgainI called it again: Gold and silver are up and running. Where will they stop? Here's where...<p>The summer is a funny time in the markets. Volume drops and manipulations increase.</p>
<p>Today's market is even more surreal than a Dali print. The volume on the S&P 500 has been falling since it peaked out over 10 billion shares a day in 2008. These days, it's lucky if it trades over three billion shares a day. This is despite the talk of high-frequency traders and the retail investor coming back.</p>
<p>After two massive bear markets in ten years, it could be that the retail investor<em> isn't </em>coming back. Not that it matters; the stock market keeps walking up its trend-line as bullish as ever.</p>
<p>Then again, $85 billion in Fed-funded debt creation a month will do that for you.</p>
<p>The S&P 500 hit a new high in July at 1,709, sold off a bit, and just recrossed the 50-day moving average to the upside. The last time it did that, it put on 90 points in two months.</p>
<p>The only fear is if the Fed stops buying, or tapers its buying, in the next few months.</p>
<p><strong>Bad News, Ben...</strong></p>
<p>This sets up the idea that “bad news is good news.” The latest market data has all been bad.</p>
<p>As you know, housing starts are down, mortgage rates are up, employment is down, average work week is down, average income is down, all the retail shops from Wal-Mart to Macy's missed earnings, oil is at five-month highs due to our next war in the Middle East, and factory orders plunged 7.3% in July.</p>
<p>Those data points would in times past have caused a sell-off in equities.</p>
<p>But in this burning giraffe market, it means that the Fed can't taper its bond buying — which in turn means it will produce yet another crutch to prop up the market, which brings us to metals...</p>
<p><strong>Hot Metal </strong></p>
<p>In case you hadn't noticed, commodities — including gold, silver, wheat, corn, copper et al. — have been surging over the past few weeks.</p>
<p>The mainstream market media may have been “surprised” by this “unexpected” turnout, but you were well informed...</p>
<p>On July 30, I told you that <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/silver-is-going-to-2567/4528">silver</a> (or rather, the SLV, the silver ETF) was going to $25.67. At the time, it was trading at $19.03.</p>
<p>Yesterday SLV was trading at $23.56, or just about halfway to my price target:</p>
<p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2013/35/21138/slv-agu-26.png" border="0" alt="slv agu 26" /></p>
<p>Silver is up, crossed over its 50-day moving average on increasing volume, and is pushing higher.</p>
<p>I expect it will hit the top of its downtrend line before pulling back to retest support.</p>
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<p>The week before, I analyzed the <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/articles/gold-miners-fly/4506">gold chart</a> and told you that a doji formation signaled a rebound on the gold ETF GLD...</p>
<p><img style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2013/35/21139/gld-aug-26.png" border="0" alt="gld aug 26" /></p>
<p>Since I wrote that article six weeks ago, gold has put on more than $200 and crossed over the 50-day moving average. It is a little less clear, but a move to $145 on the GLD ETF has better-than-average odds of happening.</p>
<p>Part of the reason for the bullish leg up in gold and silver is that large speculator positions have sold out over the past eight months.</p>
<p>Most notably, John Paulson sold more than half of his position in SPDR Gold Trust, which coincided with gold ETF outflows in the second quarter. These outflows reached $18.5 billion from March through June, which corresponds to the capitulation low we see on the charts.</p>
<p>George Soros also dumped 531,000 shares of SPDR Gold Trust, according to 13F fillings.</p>
<p><strong>Emerging Market Buys Gold</strong></p>
<p>Contrary to this, emerging markets have been hit with a spate of currency depreciations that caused them to lock in gold to maintain buying power. The fact that gold was down made it all the better.</p>
<p>Now you have a situation where the shorts are getting blown out in a classic short squeeze.</p>
<p>The market is constantly changing; but short term, I expect precious metals will be up — especially if the Bernank tapers.</p>
<p>If he doesn't taper, precious metals will be up in the long term.</p>
<p>Buy the dips,</p>
<p><p><img style="margin: 7px;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/25/9077/christian-dehaemer-signature.png" border="0" alt="Christian DeHaemer Signature" /></p>
<p>Christian DeHaemer</p>
<p><a href="https://twitter.com/thedailyhammer" target="_blank"><img style="vertical-align: middle;" src="https://images.angelpub.com/2011/50/11971/follow-basic.jpg" border="0" alt="follow basic" />@TheDailyHammer on Twitter</a></p>
<p style="margin-bottom: 0in;"><em><span style="color: #333333;">Since 1995, Christian DeHaemer has specialized in frontier market opportunities. He has traveled extensively and invested in places as varied as Cuba, Mongolia, and Kenya. Chris believes the best way to make money is to get there first with the most. Christian is the founder of <a href="http://www.angelpub.com/pubs/cao">Crisis & Opportunity</a> and Managing Director of <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com">Wealth Daily</a>. He is also a contributor for <a href="http://www.energyandcapital.com">Energy & Capital.</a> For more on Christian, see his editor's <a href="http://www.wealthdaily.com/editors/christian-dehaemer">page.</a></span></em></p></p>2013-08-27T15:34:10Z2013-08-27T15:34:10Z4613Christian A. DeHaemer